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1. Berkshire Hathaway Ends Its 3-Year Buying Drought |
Berkshire Hathaway's insurance business had a rough quarter, but its energy and manufacturing arms covered for it. Operating earnings grew 16% year over year, as Berkshire Hathaway Energy earnings jumped 27% and manufacturing, service, and retail profits rose 24%. Total EPS more than doubled to $11.91, though that’s mostly noise: it swings with mark-to-market moves in Berkshire's stock portfolio, not the businesses themselves. The stock is little-changed in pre-market trading.
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CEO Greg Abel is putting Berkshire's cash to work: After years of hoarding, Berkshire is spending again. Its cash pile fell to $365.5 billion, from $397.4 billion in the first quarter, as it bought back $4.5 billion of its own stock, closed its acquisition of homebuilder Taylor Morrison, and became a net buyer of stocks for the first time in more than three years.
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What Abel bought stays secret for now: Berkshire won't say which stocks it added until its 13-F filing hits the SEC on Aug. 14. There's no telling yet whether Abel's team found real bargains or just added to what it already owns – but Berkshire buying again at all is the shift long-term holders have wanted to see.
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2. Bad Jobs News, Best Week for Stocks in Months
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Stocks had their best week in months. The S&P 500 gained 3.58% to a fresh record, and the Nasdaq jumped 5.19% as beaten-down chip stocks bounced back –-- the iShares Semiconductor ETF alone rose 7.6% on the week. Futures point to a quieter open this morning, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq each up modestly in early trading. |
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A weak jobs report sparked the rally: The economy lost 23,000 jobs in July instead of adding the roughly 80,000 economists expected, and unemployment unexpectedly fell to 4.1%. Investors read the shortfall as raising the odds of Fed rate cuts, and cheaper money tends to lift stock prices.
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Wednesday's inflation report is the real test: Economists expect July CPI to ease to 3.4% year over year, with the core reading (which strips out food and energy) slipping to 2.5%. A cooler number would harden the case for a September rate cut; a hotter one would undo much of Friday's optimism. For long-term investors, the direction matters more than any single reading – watch whether rate-cut odds keep climbing, and don't overreact to one month's data.
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3. Hidden Gems With Something to Prove |
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Cellebrite helps police and government agencies pull data off phones and computers, and it reports Thursday before the bell. The real test is whether new business reaccelerates after a slow first quarter. Watch federal and European sales, margins recovering from recent investment spending, and whether management can point to actual AI-product revenue instead of a roadmap.
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Cisco builds the routers and switches that move traffic through corporate networks, and it reports fiscal Q4 results Wednesday after the close. Wall Street expects EPS around $1.17 on revenue near $16.82 billion. Watch AI infrastructure orders and how much of that demand runs through its new Silicon One chip platform. Valuation is already stretched, so guidance matters more than the headline beat.
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Rocket Lab, a Hidden Gems Foundational Stock, reports Q2 results after today's close. Management expects revenue of $225 million to $240 million for another record, and non-GAAP gross margins of 38% to 40%. Watch progress on the Neutron rocket, integration of the recently completed Mynaric acquisition, and the pending Motiv Space Systems deal. Q1 revenue grew fast, but the company posted a net loss, so spending discipline matters as much as growth.
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4. Guidance Will Matter More Than the Beat for These Rule Breakers
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On Holding, the Swiss maker of premium running shoes, reports before tomorrow's open, with consensus near $0.41 EPS on roughly $1.1 billion in revenue. The strong franc is noise; what matters is whether constant-currency growth and durable margins show On still commanding premium prices. A rich valuation and an implied 8% move mean even a beat could sell off on cautious guidance.
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BBB Foods, a fast-growing hard-discount grocery chain in Mexico, reports after Wednesday's close, with consensus revenue up about 47% but a wider loss. The question is whether that loss is non-cash stock compensation or real operating weakness – so watch adjusted EBITDA, same-store sales (up 16% last quarter), and gross margins to see whether its cost-and-scale advantage is compounding.
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CAVA, the Mediterranean fast-casual chain, reports after Tuesday's close, with consensus of $360.1 million in revenue and $0.18 EPS, after Q1 revenue grew 32.1% and same-restaurant sales rose 9.7%. A new salmon launch should trim margins about a point on higher energy and labor costs, which is fine as long as same-restaurant sales hold. Its newer growth initiatives, though, remain a leverage story, not a proven one.
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5. DoorDash's Drop Was Our Opening |
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We recommended DoorDash in September 2025 through Hidden Gems: Secret Code. Weeks later, in early November, the company announced plans to spend "several hundred million dollars more" in 2026 on new products like autonomous delivery and a global tech platform. DoorDash shares tumbled 30%, and that recommendation went into the red for members. We were undeterred and recommended the stock nearly a dozen more times across our portfolios that fall. DoorDash has since recovered, and today nearly all of our 30+ recommendations sit in the green.
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Long-term mindset: DoorDash is still early in a massive global market, and its spending is already paying off. It just won regulatory clearance to fly its own delivery drones, and orders hit 970 million last quarter, up 27%, on $1.4 billion in quarterly free cash flow.
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Trust strong leaders: Founder-CEO Tony Xu has made many tough calls in building this company over the past decade and has substantial skin in the game, owning roughly $2 billion in DoorDash stock. His track record of turning big bets – grocery, advertising, international – into profitable growth supported our view that this spending would pay off too.
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Knee-jerk sell-offs like this one create openings. Our Hidden Gems mindset is to lean into strong leaders and market-defining businesses, and it's paid off – our first DoorDash recommendation is up about 42% since December 2021. |
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What's a stock you held through an ugly sell-off that you're now glad you kept?
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